Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 11.376348 13.095567 14.939350 17.058288 19.420458 21.967068 24.914277
2025-07-13 9.158655 11.498593 14.185109 17.476215 21.376423 25.827456 31.266334
2025-07-20 7.785957 10.446799 13.663125 17.793430 22.908855 28.986237 36.697398
2025-07-27 6.727651 9.561918 13.142370 17.926261 24.071196 31.614493 41.479224
2025-08-03 5.681123 8.528246 12.277129 17.473082 24.372629 33.094836 44.811252
2025-08-10 4.881904 7.712584 11.585498 17.135723 24.728964 34.581878 48.132619
2025-08-17 4.215178 6.994555 10.938731 16.771286 24.974760 35.877351 51.196086
2025-08-24 3.670656 6.386299 10.376818 16.455062 25.227384 37.146089 54.223291
2025-08-31 3.157601 5.762876 9.727280 15.944927 25.147457 37.920585 56.568924
2025-09-07 2.862153 5.448490 9.505951 16.032164 25.901521 39.850100 60.538397
2025-09-14 2.587943 5.136351 9.255844 16.046227 26.529917 41.604619 64.300153
2025-09-21 2.380062 4.912872 9.123226 16.222322 27.392424 43.708009 68.605942
2025-09-28 2.148752 4.625776 8.867488 16.191748 27.946108 45.395931 72.397431
2025-10-05 2.016766 4.505181 8.878304 16.586483 29.168313 48.106399 77.757743
2025-10-12 1.882484 4.364208 8.839682 16.890185 30.250710 50.633260 82.912190
2025-10-19 1.734288 4.178407 8.704805 17.017406 31.046637 52.740982 87.491761
2025-10-26 1.522755 3.838596 8.262439 16.583393 30.899458 53.380747 89.860143
2025-11-02 1.349832 3.556547 7.900388 16.260355 30.908845 54.248743 92.583201
2025-11-09 1.193080 3.288376 7.539784 15.911444 30.848476 54.990823 95.116622
2025-11-16 1.058671 3.051734 7.218393 15.608736 30.843935 55.809259 97.776937
2025-11-23 0.920512 2.786116 6.813952 15.120500 30.485841 56.030926 99.486140
2025-11-30 0.850166 2.674787 6.715207 15.203984 31.133181 57.911506 103.880367
2025-12-07 0.779978 2.554033 6.585712 15.217443 31.650823 59.586355 107.979127